Tuesday, May 02, 2017

Homo Algorithmicus ( AI for Monkeys)


The ascent of Homo Algorithmicus

The modern workplace, be it the operating theatre, city office, or maybe the sports-field or  even a race track, are all highly competitive environments. Here responses to stimuli are finely tuned, honed to operate at maximum efficiency and gain advantage. Often these environments now respond in accordance with a ‘play-book’. A book of rules which has been refined over many years and which embodies the very best of practice. The concept of ‘minimal gains’  familiar to most of us today implicitly acknowledges this refinement and at the same time hints at a limiting ceiling of perfection?


I once listened with great attention to an international rugby player lament a loss with the words “at that stage in the game after the second breakdown (in play) we take a scrum ... but we took a kick and the lads didn’t know what to do”. Something jarred in me and not for the first time, they failed because of a failure to follow the algorithm?


I have worked in a school of 4,000 16-18 yr old students where they produced great results through their systems of teaching, learning and operation. Conformity to their model produced the results required at A Level and this place was duly rated an ‘outstanding’ establishment. Clearly systems work. So what’s my problem?


There are many more examples of success in the vein described above and it does not take a genius to spot the emergence of  ‘algorithms of success’: there is a smart way of doing things in these contexts.


Artificial Intelligence ‘bots’ obviously use smart algorithms, it’s hardly saying anything at all to point this out and increasingly, unsurprisingly they are finding a place working alongside of us ( when not actually taking our jobs). This is to be expected because we and they are on convergent cognitive paths.  I have pointed out before in a previous blog but to reiterate explicitly: increasingly robots ‘think’ like us and we ‘think’ like them.


I call this AUI or Acquired Un-Intelligence. From the dawn of time an organism has to acquire a set of useful algorithms of behaviour in order to survive in a dynamic ( ie changing)  environment. Shine a light on a woodlouse and it quickly  for a woodlouse) moves into the dark … and so on throughout a million examples from Nature.  We humans have complex brains and we can move from such simple ‘rules of thumb’ to more elaborate and complex behaviours thanks to the fact they can be written down, thought about and refined by a ‘thousand eyes’ distributed globally.


Oh good.


In my opinion It’s a mistake to mistake this ability as cognitive progress. The effectiveness of our smartest algorithm followed to the letter does not make us smart unless we shift away from calling machines dumb for doing just the same!


Another example of acquired dumbness is the rise and rise of ‘Big Data’ or rather the rise of the algorithms that ‘mine’ Big Data’. Machines can look for patterns in vast data sets, which is another way of saying that they can find patterns in data which is one step from finding associations which are of course correlations.


Increasing Post Doc students particularly in medicine are given vast sets of medical data to research. In other words the apply algorithms they do not understand to find correlation that they are looking for. Of course they find them and we seem programmed to be unable not to attribute significance ( even causal significance) to all but the most ludicrous associations.


I used to tease my students in the 19080s with the strong association between dyslexia in a child and the wearing of dungarees by the mother that drove Volvo cars. It’s real, so I advised mothers to avoid this clothing and buy a Fiat. The correlation did not mention that dyslexia was being newly diagnosed in those times and was the preserve of a certain middle class family whose mothers at that time would have met the criteria above.

Homo algorithmicus is dumb and getting dumber. Machines are dumb but getting smarter. We need to nurture our creativity; we are at our best when we are makers; makers of art, tools, music, buildings and fables. Not followers of algorithms, that day is nearly done, we make rubbish robots.

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